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Are Emerging Asias Reserves Really Too High? Marta Ruiz-Arranz

Are Emerging Asias Reserves Really Too High?

Marta Ruiz-Arranz

Published February 28th 2006
ISBN : 9781282841437
ebook
34 pages
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 About the Book 

Asset booms and sectoral changes can distort traditional estimates of structural fiscal revenue, and could lead to serious fiscal policy errors. This paper extends the estimation of structural revenues to take account of asset prices and sectoralMoreAsset booms and sectoral changes can distort traditional estimates of structural fiscal revenue, and could lead to serious fiscal policy errors. This paper extends the estimation of structural revenues to take account of asset prices and sectoral changes, and applies this to the case of Ireland, where a property bust has revealed a large hole in the public finances. It is shown that excluding these factors led to a substantial bias in the estimation of structural revenues, and the structural balance prior to the crisis was much larger than earlier estimated.